Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.004836 0.005332 0.005869 0.006493 0.007202 0.007985 0.008918
2025-08-03 0.004020 0.004702 0.005495 0.006494 0.007729 0.009220 0.011176
2025-08-10 0.003522 0.004278 0.005200 0.006423 0.008024 0.010082 0.012977
2025-08-17 0.003211 0.004019 0.005045 0.006463 0.008413 0.011055 0.015009
2025-08-24 0.002928 0.003756 0.004839 0.006392 0.008615 0.011770 0.016750
2025-08-31 0.002656 0.003476 0.004577 0.006203 0.008612 0.012167 0.018050
2025-09-07 0.002484 0.003312 0.004453 0.006187 0.008843 0.012919 0.019992
2025-09-14 0.002396 0.003258 0.004473 0.006375 0.009393 0.014217 0.023026
2025-09-21 0.002236 0.003084 0.004306 0.006260 0.009448 0.014715 0.024739
2025-09-28 0.002092 0.002925 0.004145 0.006138 0.009473 0.015156 0.026404
2025-10-05 0.001992 0.002822 0.004060 0.006127 0.009676 0.015922 0.028808
2025-10-12 0.001930 0.002773 0.004054 0.006240 0.010100 0.017130 0.032309
2025-10-19 0.001828 0.002659 0.003942 0.006179 0.010229 0.017844 0.035002
2025-10-26 0.001745 0.002570 0.003868 0.006176 0.010468 0.018811 0.038485
2025-11-02 0.001657 0.002469 0.003763 0.006109 0.010576 0.019525 0.041531
2025-11-09 0.001597 0.002407 0.003720 0.006147 0.010887 0.020701 0.045978
2025-11-16 0.001523 0.002319 0.003625 0.006080 0.010981 0.021423 0.049437
2025-11-23 0.001436 0.002203 0.003477 0.005902 0.010831 0.021579 0.051405
2025-11-30 0.001382 0.002141 0.003417 0.005887 0.011015 0.022525 0.055845
2025-12-07 0.001363 0.002135 0.003456 0.006064 0.011628 0.024578 0.064168
2025-12-14 0.001301 0.002054 0.003354 0.005956 0.011605 0.025072 0.067774
2025-12-21 0.001243 0.001975 0.003253 0.005841 0.011555 0.025491 0.071266
2025-12-28 0.001203 0.001927 0.003204 0.005830 0.011741 0.026554 0.077315